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NOAH's Visit to Naga City: Learning, Sharing, and Inspiring Encounters

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Dianne and I were just waiting for our colleague AC when Dr. Lagmay, suddenly called us into his office. He had just finished a long day full of meetings, but upon seeing us around, he let us in on something unexpected: Mayor Leni had invited Project NOAH to Naga City. And just like that, he invited us to come along.

Three weeks later, we were on a flight to Naga City, excited and a little nervous, to capacitate local stakeholders through talks and workshops on flooding and disaster preparedness. We were especially grateful because the City of Naga generously covered our flights and accommodations, which allowed me to bring along my whole team to take part in this important engagement.

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NOAH Team with Hon. Leni Robredo during the first day of the workshop

Learning from the Landscape

In the weeks leading up to the trip, we were told that our main role was to help capacitate different local stakeholders on flooding, since Naga is frequently affected by it. Preparing for the sessions, I wanted to make sure that what we shared would be both practical and relevant to their experiences.

One of the moments that stayed with me was hearing Dr. Lagmay explain how the river systems across the entire Bicol region connect and affect flooding in Naga City. I’ve worked with disaster risk projects for years, but I always find myself fascinated by how a city’s topography shapes its vulnerability. It was a fresh reminder that there is always something new to learn, even in a field we think we already know well.

It was also during this time that I learned that the rainfall brought by Typhoon Kristine last year actually exceeded the rains from Ondoy. What’s more surprising is that it wasn’t even equivalent to the 100-year rainfall return we usually consider as the worst-case scenario for flood simulations. With that much water, it was inevitable that the river basin would be overwhelmed, leading to severe flooding.

Sharing Tools for Readiness and Preparedness

Our part was to introduce the NOAH website and the Impact-Based Flood Forecasting System. Surprisingly, not everyone in the room was familiar with NOAH yet, so introducing it felt like a validation of the work we’ve been doing—especially the flood models.

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Introducing NOAH's Impact-Based Flood Forecasting System

At the same time, their feedback was eye-opening. Some pointed out that the flood models we presented did not fully match their lived experience of flooding; in fact, what they went through during Typhoon Kristine was far worse. That reflection made sense—our model represents a 100-year rainfall return scenario, while Kristine brought an even more extreme volume of rain. It reminded me how real-world events can exceed even our “worst-case” assumptions.

With this feedback, our NOAH team acknowledged the need to revisit and update our flood models. Much of the current flood modeling is based on data from the LiDAR project that started back in 2012, and it may already be outdated. Beyond that, it is becoming clear that incorporating higher rainfall return scenarios, or even climate change-adjusted projections, will be necessary to better reflect extreme events like Kristine.

Nevertheless, it was encouraging to hear from the OIC of the DRRMO, Sir Raynor Rodriguez, that these tools would be genuinely useful for their disaster operations. Meeting Mr. Mike "Mr. Typhoon" Padua, who has long been a trusted local source of weather and rainfall monitoring—was also a highlight. His dedication as both a local and a scientist shows the value of community-based expertise in disaster response.

A Surreal Encounter

Of course, one of the most memorable parts of the trip was visiting Hon. Leni Robredo’s office. I have long admired her for her good governance, and seeing her in person felt surreal. What struck me most was how grounded she was—it never felt like we were speaking to a high-profile public servant. Talking to her felt natural, almost like conversing with an old friend.

She didn’t just meet us briefly for formality’s sake. She welcomed us into her office, joined us for dinner afterward, and stayed engaged in conversation even after a long day filled with back-to-back commitments. What amazed me was that I never once heard her complain, despite how demanding her schedule clearly was. Her warmth, patience, and presence left me with a deep sense of respect for her leadership, and for the kind of person she is.

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NOAH's visit to the Mayor's office after the first day of workshop

Reflections

Experiences like this make me deeply appreciate the importance of working closely with LGUs. Beyond the science and the systems, it is about building trust, exchanging knowledge, and nurturing partnerships. What we saw in Naga reminded me that resilience is built not only through tools and data, but also through the relationships we forge with local leaders and communities.

At the same time, it also reminded me of the long road ahead. As scientists and social workers, our task is not only to develop models and technologies but to make sure they reach the people who need them most—and that they can use them effectively. It is encouraging to see Naga take such a proactive stance, and I can only hope that more LGUs will follow their example. Because in the face of disasters, preparedness is not just about having the right information, but about leaders who are willing to act on it.

Thank you, Naga City! 🌻

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